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Millennial women are taking over the economy
  + stars: | 2024-03-17 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Millennial women are having an outsized impact on the global economy, according to Ned Davis Research. "The rise in millennial female participation should have positive implications for the economy and equities in the long-term," NDR said. "The unemployment rate tends to be lower among people with higher education, which helps explain the greater take-up of women in the workforce. Younger women are more likely to have higher education and thus, be employed productively." Ned Davis Research"The premise is that when the economy has a large proportion of maturing population, workers are more productive, and incomes are higher," Grindal said.
Persons: Ned Davis, Alejandra Grindal, , Grindal, millennials Organizations: Ned Davis Research, NDR Locations: Australia, Japan, Germany, Italy, South Korea
Bank of AmericaIn the note, Hartnett laid out more evidence that a bubble could be developing in stocks. The current real 10-year rate is 1.6%, according to Fed data. Hartnett said a falling number of job quitters shows a weakening labor market, hence the Fed's apparent willingness to cut rates soon. February's inflation data will be released next week, but January's data showed that prices are still rising at a pesky pace of 3.1%, above the Fed's stated goal of 2%. Whether a Fed pivot is a good thing for investors depends on just how cool labor market data becomes.
Persons: , Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, quitters, Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, it's, Grindal Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, PHLX Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Semiconductor, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, Bank of America's, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Ned, Ned Davis Research
The odds of a global recession keep going down
  + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Ned Davis Research said economic indicators suggest the odds of a global downturn are diminishing. "The global economic lull we saw in the second half of 2023 appears to be abating." In a note published Tuesday, they highlighted that economic indicators across manufacturing, supply chains, and equities suggest the odds of a global recession have come down. On a historical basis, it's still below the long-term average of 53.2, but the global composite PMI has a recession threshold of 47.8. "This puts our breadth measure closer to pre-pandemic levels, when global expansions typically saw services breadth at 85% or higher."
Persons: Ned Davis, , Alejandra Grindal, Patrick Ayers, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Service, PMI, NDR Locations: China, India, East, Japan, Canada
"In many ways, we already have a soft landing," said Columbia Business School economics professor Brett House. What a 'no landing' scenario means"No landing means above-trend growth, and also above-trend inflation," Grindal said, describing an economy that is "overheating." As of the latest reading, the current annual inflation rate is 3.4%, still above the 2% target that the central bank considers a healthy annual rate. A "no landing" scenario also means more strain on household budgets and those with variable-rate debt, such as credit cards. "That looks like the soft landing has been more or less achieved and is likely to be sustained," House said.
Persons: Brett House, Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, Grindal Organizations: Federal, Columbia Business School, Gross, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Finance
Which economic giant should emerging markets investors go for: China or India? India is the "best structural growth opportunity" in emerging markets, according to Malcolm Dorson, head of emerging markets strategy at Global X ETFs. LPL Financial's chief technical strategist, Adam Turnquist, added that India has emerged as an increasingly attractive alternative to China. Where and how to invest in India Investors could go for the "booming areas" in India — renewables such as hydrogen and solar energy, as well as agricultural tech, according to Sharma. But both Krosby and Dorson would advocate active management in emerging markets such as India, given political and economic complexities, among other reasons.
Persons: Malcolm Dorson, Morgan Stanley, Dorson, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, Rahul Sen Sharma, Sharma, Morningstar Organizations: Shenzhen Component, CNBC, Global, Chinese Communist Party, LPL, Ned, Ned Davis Research, India Investors, India, Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, Jewelry, India Active Locations: China, India, Shenzhen, Asia, Beijing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Alejandra Grindal and James DemmertAlejandra Grindal, Ned Davis Research senior international economist and James Demmert, Main Street Research CIO, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action, the latest CPI read and more.
Persons: Alejandra Grindal, James Demmert Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, James Demmert Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Street Research
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailToday's CPI report is a reminder inflation is sticky despite Fed's efforts: Main Street's DemmertAlejandra Grindal, Ned Davis Research senior international economist and James Demmert, Main Street Research CIO, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action, the latest CPI read and more.
Persons: Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, James Demmert Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Street Research
HOUSTON, July 10 (Reuters) - A coming wave of North American liquefied natural gas (LNG) export projects faces staffing challenges that are prompting some of the biggest developers to expand training and coordinate projects to keep construction workers. WORKERS NEEDEDAt present Bechtel has more than 3,000 professionals working on its LNG projects. Two other projects - Golden Pass LNG and Plaquemines LNG - have added workers and are moving to 24-hour work schedules. Cheniere and Bechtel are training workers using virtual simulations or via partnerships with local schools. Venture Global LNG stitched together 18 liquefaction units in its highly modular Calcasieu Pass LNG plant, allowing it to open the facility in what it said was record time.
Persons: Paul Marsden, Marsden, Alex Munton, Bechtel, Corey Grindal, Grindal, Cheniere, Jason Klein, Klein, Paul Varello, Curtis Williams, Nia Williams, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Bechtel Corp's Energy, Labor, Rapidan Energy, Bechtel, Cheniere Energy, Corpus, Plaquemines, Canada, Reuters, Commonwealth LNG, Venture, Columbia, Thomson Locations: U.S, Port Arthur, Christi, Kitimat, British Columbia, China, Calcasieu, Houston
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt appears debt default is off the table after White House meeting, says Ned Davis' GrindalAdam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge, & Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis Research senior international economist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to recap the latest debt ceiling meeting between congressional leaders and President Biden.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed will hike one more time in May and then pause, says Alejandra GrindalAlejandra Grindal, Ned Davis Research senior international economist, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the economy and the Fed's next move.
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